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M-PESA’s Grip Loosens! Market Share Dips

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M-PESA Market Share Declines Amidst Intensified Mobile Money Competition in Kenya

Kenya’s mobile money landscape is undergoing a significant shift, with long-time leader M-PESA experiencing a sustained decrease in market share. Recent data released by the Communications Authority of Kenya (CA) reveals a continued erosion of M-PESA’s dominance, signaling an increasingly competitive environment driven by innovative strategies from rival platforms. This trend highlights the evolving preferences of Kenyan consumers and the growing importance of factors such as affordability, accessibility, and interoperability in the mobile money sector.

Airtel Money Gains Ground Through Strategic Initiatives

The CA’s figures indicate that M-PESA’s market share has fallen for the sixth consecutive quarter, dropping from a commanding 97% in the final quarter of 2023 to 90.8% in the first quarter of 2025. Conversely, Airtel Money has emerged as a key beneficiary of this shift. Airtel Money’s market share rose to 9.1% in Q1 2025, a substantial increase from 8.9% in the previous quarter and a remarkable jump from just 2.9% two years prior. This growth can be attributed to several strategic initiatives implemented by Airtel, including offering fee refunds on transactions, providing more competitive pricing structures, and forging partnerships with major retail chains like Naivas to broaden its agent network. The proliferation of agents is vital in the Kenyan context, ensuring accessibility in both urban and rural areas, where mobile money services are crucial for financial inclusion.

Despite M-PESA’s market share decline, the overall mobile money market in Kenya continues to expand. Mobile money subscriptions witnessed a robust 7.3% increase, reaching 45.4 million subscribers during the quarter, pushing penetration to 86.6%. This growth reflects a broader trend in the telecommunications sector, with SIM subscriptions also experiencing a rebound, driven by targeted customer retention and win-back campaigns by various telcos. The rise in registered mobile money agents by 5.5% to 417,000 reinforces the expanding reach and accessibility of these essential financial services across the country.

The evolving dynamics of Kenya’s mobile money market underscore the importance of innovation and customer-centric strategies in maintaining market leadership. While M-PESA remains a dominant force, the rise of Airtel Money and the overall growth of the sector demonstrate the potential for alternative platforms to thrive by addressing consumer needs and leveraging strategic partnerships to enhance accessibility and affordability.

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